![]() Snowboarder Julia Marino won the United States’ first medal on Saturday, but it was not gold. The three-time Olympian took home bronze, while her teammate Rosie Brennan came in fourth. Lindsey Jacobellis slid to victory in the women's snowboard cross, putting an end to Team USA's gold-less streak at the Winter Olympics in Beijing. had to endure five days of grueling competition - with some disappointing upsets - to finally bring home its first gold medal in the Olympics. Lindsey Jacobellis - Women's Snowboard Cross The United States ultimately won eight gold medals, with those going to:Īlexander Hall - Men's Freeski Slopestyle The Russian Olympic Committee had the second-most medals with 32, winning the silver medal in men's hockey to finish up the Olympics. Norway not only broke the record for most gold medals in a single Olympics with 16, but also defeated the Russian Olympic Committee in the total medal count with 37. United States - 25 (8 gold, 10 silver, 7 bronze) Canada - 26 (4 gold, 8 silver, 14 bronze)ĥ. Germany - 27 (12 gold, 10 silver, 5 bronze)ģ. Norway – 37 (16 gold, 8 silver, 13 bronze)Ģ. Because while the Olympics aren’t only about the glory of making the podium, earning a medal ( mostly) lasts a lifetime and immortalizes an entire generation of athletes in the memories of fans worldwide.1. Using this basic system, our interactive will allow you to track the medal count in a new way - comparing results with how each country should generally expect to be doing based on its recent history of success. 2 Finally, just like in the 2018 Winter Olympics, we needed to adjust the expected medals for Russia - err, the “ROC” - over the doping scandal that has affected how the team can present itself and who is able to participate in the games. in 2012 and China in 2008 by the same amount. Since there’s also a lot of evidence that home countries get a big bounce during the games they host, we added a boost to Japan’s expected medals for the Tokyo Games, and we reduced the medal rates of Brazil in 2016, the U.K. For sports with some prior history (but not complete over each of the past three Olympics), we blended the observed shares with the naive all-countries-equal approach. For new sports with no Olympic history, we made the extremely naive assumption that each participating country has an equal probability of winning each medal. We also made adjustments to handle a few special cases. Which Countries Are Doing Better - Or Worse - Than Expected At The Tokyo Olympics? Read more. To form our baseline expectations, we then made sure the rates added up to a 100 percent total share 1 among countries actually participating in each of those sports this year. ![]() ![]() (Why three? My research found that number of Olympic Games was most correlated with a country’s medal count in a given Olympics.) Our “sport” categories are relatively broad - we grouped the 339 events that award medals into 40 categories, such as archery, cycling, table tennis and wrestling - and we tracked the historical share of each medal type won by the country in those sports. ![]() (We did this with data provided graciously by Bill Mallon of, an essential resource for anyone with an interest in Olympics data and history.) Keeping in mind that this is not a forecast in the same sense as, say, our NFL predictions - but rather a baseline accounting of how countries have tended to do in each event - here are the basics of how it works:Įach country’s expected gold, silver and bronze medals are based on its performance in each sport over the past three Summer Olympics, weighted by recency. But for Tokyo, we wanted to expand that concept into a full interactive that tracks a country’s medals above or below baseline as the games progress. Of course, there are plenty of ways to track the gold, silver and bronze medals hauled in by every Olympic team, but what’s often missed by the standard tracker is context: How much should we expect each country to be winning, based on how well it tends to do in the sports that have - and haven’t - already handed out their medals?įor the 2018 Winter Olympics, we wrote a few stories along these lines, attempting to measure performance relative to expectations. The 2021 2020 Olympics are already underway in Tokyo, and that means it’s nearly time to start counting up all the hardware won by each country’s athletes. This article is part of our Tokyo Olympics series. ![]()
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